The difference between former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) fell to the lowest level since July last year in the Genial/Quaest survey, released this Wednesday (8/3).
Lula now has 43% of voting intentions, compared to 31% for Bolsonaro. Following are Ciro Gomes (PDT), with 5%, André Janones (Avante), and Simone Tebet (MDB), both with 2%.
The PT fluctuated from 45% to 44% in the last poll, while the current president also fluctuated from 31% to 32%. The gap, therefore, is now 12 percentage points – in May it was 17.
In the second-round poll, the advantage also dropped. Now, Lula has 51% and Bolsonaro has 37%. Last month, candidate ratings were 53% versus 34%, respectively.
Bolsonaro's rating improves
The negative assessment of Jair Bolsonaro went from 47% to 43%, according to the survey. The positive went from 26% to 27%.
The decline in negative assessment occurs in all income groups, age groups, and regions of the country, but in these groups, the margins of error are greater than the 2 points of the general survey.
Among the regions, the main drop in the president's negative evaluation was in the Northeast, Lula's main stronghold - still, according to the survey, the former president leads the voting intentions with ease among the Northeast, with 57% against 22% of the current representative.
The economy is Brazil's main problem
The economy is still the main problem in Brazil for 40% of respondents. The index, however, is also the lowest in the historical series – in May, it reached 51%. Concern about family income also dropped from 44% last month to 40%.
The Genial/Quaest poll surveyed 2,000 people over the age of 16 between July 28 and 31, in interviews at voters' homes in 27 states. Since July 2021, Genial/Quaest has been carrying out polls of voting intentions for the presidential elections.